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Richard Rider

CA per capita GDP — adjusted for COL — is worse than all but 13 states

UPDATE WITH 2014 FIGURES:  It’s common for the remaining California boosters (almost ALL far to the left of center) to smugly assert that “California is the 7th largest ‘country’ in the world.” Using GDP (Gross Domestic Product) as a benchmark, it is a true assertion.  It’s also an incomplete assertion. And certainly a misleading assertion. Indeed, a more detailed analysis cuts the legs out from under the booster bunch.

 

To begin with, that 7th (or 8th — it’s very close) place rank is DOWN from 1999, when CA was ranked 5th.  We are in a stately decline.

 

Moreover, our three immediate “competitors” are India, Italy and Brazil — three economic basket cases.  This fact should alert one that using simple GDP as a measure of a country’s prosperity can be remarkably misleading.

 

Touting CA (vs. other states) as the best state simply because of its high GDP ranking as a country (again, compared to the other states) is just plain silly.  CA has almost 39 million people, far larger than any other state.  2nd is Texas at 27+ million, with the other 48 states tailing off quickly in population.

 

A much more legitimate comparison is the PER CAPITA GDP of the states. After all, THAT’s what people want to know about the prosperity of  a state or country — not the GROSS GDP figure without considering the size of the population.

 

Fortunately I found good sources for this information, and just got more recent figures.  All the data I’ll be citing from this point forward comes from the listed sources and my Excel spreadsheet.  Anyone wishing to receive the actual spreadsheet to see the math should contact me for the template.

 

First, let’s look at the 2012 PER CAPITA GDP rank of states. Well, if you want to count “Columbia,” it’s BY FAR the richest per capita jurisdiction — almost TRIPLE the best state.  But this rip in the space-time continuum doesn’t operate by the normal rules of wealth physics — if it WERE a state, we’d nickname it the “Looter State,” given is source of wealth (taxation). Hence we ignore D.C. in this ranking comparison.

 

Here’s that ranking of these 50 states (plus the U.S. average, and, of course, nutty D.C.):

 

 

RANK State 2014
Per Capita
GDP
1 Dist. of Col. $159,386
2 Alaska $66,160
3 North Dakota $65,225
4 New York $64,818
5 Connecticut $64,675
6 Wyoming $64,309
7 Massachusetts $63,005
8 Delaware $60,551
9 New Jersey $56,405
10 Washington $55,298
11 California $54,462
12 Texas $54,433
13 Maryland $53,759
14 Illinois $52,827
15 Minnesota $52,801
16 Nebraska $52,724
17 Colorado $52,214
18 Virginia $51,338
19 Oregon $51,329
20 New Hampshire $49,951
21 Hawaii $49,686
22 United States $49,469
23 Iowa $49,075
24 Rhode Island $47,901
25 Pennsylvania $47,637
26 South Dakota $46,688
27 Wisconsin $46,665
28 Louisiana $46,448
29 Ohio $45,887
30 Kansas $45,765
31 North Carolina $44,281
32 Indiana $43,861
33 Utah $43,555
34 Vermont $43,354
35 Georgia $43,131
36 Missouri $42,854
37 Nevada $42,539
38 Tennessee $42,115
39 Michigan $42,110
40 Oklahoma $41,871
41 New Mexico $40,081
42 Kentucky $38,938
43 Arizona $38,743
44 Florida $38,690
45 Montana $38,539
46 Maine $38,327
47 Alabama $37,593
48 Arkansas $37,334
49 West Virginia $36,769
50 South Carolina $36,125
51 Idaho $35,235
52 Mississippi $31,551

 

 

As we can see from this chart, California is NOT the most prosperous state.  PER CAPITA, it’s the 11th most prosperous state — nothing to brag about, but at least well into the upper third of the states.

 

Now let’s adjust the per capita state GDP for the cost of living (COL) in each state.  California’s COL is 34.3% higher than the national COL average. Here’s the ranking of the states with this important modification:

 

 

RANK       State 2014 2015 Relative COL-adjusted
Per Capita Cost of Per Capita GDP
GDP Living
1 Dist. of Col. $159,386 146.8 $108,574
2 Wyoming $64,309 92.8 $69,298
3 North Dakota $65,225 101.2 $64,452
4 Delaware $60,551 102.8 $58,902
5 Texas $54,433 92.6 $58,783
6 Nebraska $52,724 92.3 $57,122
7 Illinois $52,827 96.5 $54,743
8 Virginia $51,338 94.5 $54,326
9 Iowa $49,075 92.0 $53,342
10 Washington $55,298 106.0 $52,168
11 Minnesota $52,801 101.5 $52,021
12 Colorado $52,214 101.9 $51,240
13 Kansas $45,765 90.9 $50,347
14 Indiana $43,861 88.0 $49,842
15 Louisiana $46,448 93.4 $49,730
16 Ohio $45,887 92.5 $49,608
17 Alaska $66,160 133.5 $49,558
18 United States $49,469 100.0 $49,469
19 Connecticut $64,675 131.8 $49,071
20 Massachusetts $63,005 130.4 $48,317
21 New York $64,818 135.6 $47,801
22 Wisconsin $46,665 98.1 $47,569
23 Utah $43,555 92.4 $47,137
24 Georgia $43,131 91.7 $47,035
25 Missouri $42,854 91.5 $46,835
26 Oklahoma $41,871 89.7 $46,679
27 Tennessee $42,115 90.3 $46,639
28 Pennsylvania $47,637 103.0 $46,250
29 North Carolina $44,281 95.8 $46,222
30 Michigan $42,110 91.2 $46,173
31 South Dakota $46,688 102.5 $45,549
32 New Jersey $56,405 125.6 $44,908
33 Maryland $53,759 121.1 $44,392
34 Kentucky $38,938 90.0 $43,264
35 New Mexico $40,081 93.4 $42,913
36 New Hampshire $49,951 118.2 $42,260
37 Alabama $37,593 90.2 $41,677
38 Arkansas $37,334 91.4 $40,847
39 California $54,462 134.3 $40,552
40 Idaho $35,235 88.2 $39,949
41 Nevada $42,539 106.5 $39,943
42 Oregon $51,329 129.5 $39,636
43 Arizona $38,743 98.8 $39,214
44 Rhode Island $47,901 123.3 $38,849
45 Florida $38,690 100.5 $38,498
46 Mississippi $31,551 83.5 $37,786
47 South Carolina $36,125 96.1 $37,591
48 Montana $38,539 102.7 $37,526
49 West Virginia $36,769 103.7 $35,457
50 Vermont $43,354 123.8 $35,019
51 Maine $38,327 114.7 $33,415
52 Hawaii $49,686 168.6 $29,470

 

So, after making the proper adjustments, we find that high cost California has a lower per person GDP than all but 13 states.  It turns out that our Golden State is not so golden after all.

 

Our dismal ranking has not changed in two years. Currently the per capita GDP average of the other 49 states is 25.0% higher than California.

 

BTW, it’s interesting to look at the California per capita GDP (unadjusted for COL) compared to the other COUNTRIES.  While we are 7th in the world in aggregate GDP, we rank about 19th when one factors in the population to get the per capita figure.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita

NOTE:  Here’s the sources for the numbers above:

Per capita GDP:
U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
http://www.bea.gov/scb/pdf/2015/07%20July/0715_gross_domestic_product_by_state.pdf     page 7
Relative cost of living by state:
https://www.missourieconomy.org/indicators/cost_of_living/