Mike Spence

Mike serves on his local school board, and is Past President of the CA Republican Assembly.
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- Conflict?
- Senate Debate: Carly did well, journalists failed
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- Stealthy teacher proves that education dollars should go to classroom, not bureaucracy
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- VIDEO: Fleischman Interviews Rep. Tom Price, Chairman of the House Republican Study Committee
- Rep. Loretta Sanchez visits Hef & Crystal At The Playboy Mansion; Hef Tweets!
- Let The Debates Begin
- OCBC - Undeserved Raspberry? OCBC Says They Did NOT Support AB 1998...
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Thursday Night Live: Thousand Oaks City Council Candidate Brandon Millan (Source: VC Star Brian Dennert)
Whitman primary spending No. 2 in dollar-per-vote breakdown (Source: SacBee Capitol Alert)
Boxer continues criticism of GOP challenger Fiorina (Source: SacBee Capitol Alert)
Fiorina Routed by Boxer In CA-Senate Debate (Source: CA Progress Report)
Kellogg honored as labor leader (Source: CCTimes/OakTrib Politics Blog)
Bid denied to force Brown, Schwarzenegger to appeal Prop. 8 (Source: SacBee Capitol Alert)
Psssttt, Carly Supports Prop 23, Opposes AB 32 (Source: Calitics)
CD11: McNerney and Harmer in dead heat (Source: CCTimes/OakTrib Politics Blog)
Go To BlogScan PageFR BlogScan
What is the latest on CA's political blog sites?
Go to FR BlogScanFR BlogScan
Thursday Night Live: Thousand Oaks City Council Candidate Brandon Millan (Source: VC Star Brian Dennert)
Whitman primary spending No. 2 in dollar-per-vote breakdown (Source: SacBee Capitol Alert)
Boxer continues criticism of GOP challenger Fiorina (Source: SacBee Capitol Alert)
Fiorina Routed by Boxer In CA-Senate Debate (Source: CA Progress Report)
Kellogg honored as labor leader (Source: CCTimes/OakTrib Politics Blog)
Bid denied to force Brown, Schwarzenegger to appeal Prop. 8 (Source: SacBee Capitol Alert)
Psssttt, Carly Supports Prop 23, Opposes AB 32 (Source: Calitics)
CD11: McNerney and Harmer in dead heat (Source: CCTimes/OakTrib Politics Blog)
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Ed Laning on Senate Debate: Carly did well, journalists failed
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Rohit Joy on Assembly Republicans Unanimously Call On Governor To Order An Appeal Filed In Prop. 8 Case
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FlashReport Weblog on California Politics
Time to Audit Victory '06
by Mike Spence - Los Angeles County (bio) (email)(print)
First, I want to point out that I know something on this scale has not been tried before. I know many Victory '06 staffers. Many of them are great operatives. People can work hard and effectively in campaigns and still not achieve objectives. To be successful in the future requires us to take a hard look at some of these things.
I admit to only knowing a few things. Turnout in GOP areas was lower than four years ago. Imagine that. A "GOP" Governor is winning by 17% and turnout is worse than when we lose by 5%. What gives?
There are definitely some outside factors at work. The National GOP collapse didn't help. The Governor's refusal to appear with or speak kindly about down ticket candidates was a factor. His message of a bigger bond debt and more nanny statism appealed to Dems, but not GOP voters. (His no new taxes of course appealed to GOP voters but was inconsistent with the rest of the message)
But what of Victory '06? I know out of 400 precincts in Eastern LA County only 11 were targeted for traditional GOTV. I know that some of the sheets for checking polls were in order by alphabetically by voters name and were never put in a consolidated form.
I know in some places scripts never started emphasizing the down ticket until 4-6-weeks before the election, if at all.
I know church outreach died wandering in the desert. At the end only one staffer was left trying to get church people not necessarily to vote, but to volunteer to make phone calls. One person in all of CA!
Don't get me started on door hangers. Ask Richad Pombo if door hangers should have federal candidates on them. (It wouldn't have saved him, but please). FEd candidates can be on them if the party raises and spends dollars properly.
If voters are demoralized, it is hard to drag them to the polls if you don't contact them. And it was hard. CRA's GOTV effort Through CRAVICTORYTEAM.com put boots on the ground in key races. We did do last minute church outreach. And it was hard. Then again we didn't have $20 million to spend either.
As BOE member Bill Leonard pointed out, his race is totally turnout driven. No advertising, large area and his numbers went down. He thinks we need a political audit of the CRP. I agree and let's start with Victory '06.









































Comments
Mike, you are right in calling for an audit. The fact is, Victory 06 appears to have been a complete bust. Arnold and Poizner would have won without it due to the weakness of their opponents. As far as GOTV, the major GOP counties in the state all turned out at less than 50%. That's pathetic.
Posted by Dave Gilliard at November 14, 2006 1:47pmThe all-Arnold, all-the-time Victory 06 plan was doomed to failure as soon as it became apparent that Arnold's strategy was to run away from the Republican Party and the GOP ticket.
I believe the Party has an obligation to do its best to promote all of our candidates and endorsed measures. Sadly, and in spite of record spending, that did not happen in 2006.
Granted, this was a tough year for the GOP. But a more complete effort that focused on the tried and true live calls and door-knocking GOTV and that promoted our entire statewide slate, along with our endorsed propositions, might have made the difference for McPherson, McClintock, and Prop. 90.
I did three days of phone banking at Victory'06's office in West LA. We always told people to vote for the entire ticket. It was a great office and the staff there worked hard and inspired people to come and place calls. If more people were like Scott Broschart, (who managed the office) were in charge, I would like to believe that things may have been different.
Posted by Kevin Norte at November 14, 2006 2:29pmOf course Arnold had coattails. He ran as a Democrat, and most of the Democrats got elected statewide.
Posted by Mark Sheppard at November 15, 2006 7:39amPost a Comment
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