An Orange County Register article today heralds the quiet but significant progress the OC Republican Party has made in narrowing the registration gap in central Orange County.

Since launching the Voter Registration Project two years ago (funded by the New Majority) Republican registration is within 1.7% in the 34th Senate District, 4.4% in the Loretta Sanchez’s district, and 9.8% in the 69th Assembly District.

Those numbers represent a dramatic improvement from the registration deficit from November 1998, the high-water mark of Democratic dominance in central OC. At that time, the Dems has a 10.6% advantage in the 34th SD, 14.2% in the 47th CD, and 19.6% in the 69th CD.

As result, the GOP has an excellent shot at taking the 34th SD, especially if the politically wounded Tom Umberg is the nominee. Loretta Sanchez’s days of sending out strange Christmas cards will be numbered once the GOP fields a credible candidate like Santa Ana Councilman… Read More

This yearhas been a year of turmoil, infighting, budget problems, controversial staff changes and changing focus. And I’m not talking about the Governor’s office! I’m talking about a church, but not any church. This is oneof the most famous churches in Los Angeles.

First Hollywood Presbyterian is no ordinary church. It has a storied history that includes the start of the Billy Graham Ministries andserved as the pulpitfor current U.S. Senate Chaplain Lloyd Ogilvie.Although considered a "liberal" denomination. There was always a soft spot among more conservative Christians for Hollywood Presbyterian because of its history and location. To have a high profile church in a place like Hollywood was a always a good thing.

The LA Weekly has a decent, if little liberal view of the problems facing this Los Angeleslandmark. See it here.… Read More

This morning the anonymous (but great) San Diego Politics Blog picked up on the just-published San DiegoCityBeat review of 2005 in politics. I don’t typically go out of my way to find a copy of City Beat, avery left-leaning (heck, socialist) tabloid, but when I run across it I pick it up, at least to see which Republicans they’re bashing that week … and which GOP moderates are labeled as right-wing fascists.

This week’s CityBeat piece by David Rolland, "HEY NINETEEN: Recalling the newsmakers of 2005—oh, how they entertained us," does make for fun reading … as long as you take some of it with a grain of salt.

To be sure, San Diego area politics has most assuredly provided some newsmakers this past year … stripper-gate and Duke Cunningham alone were enough for a mouthful, but then throw in a few other ongoing scandals, crises and mayoral elections…… Read More

I recently was queried by the anonymous "Pete St. John," proprietor of the California Campaigns blog, asking me for six political predictions for 2006. I had some fun with it, but my answers are below. Click through to St. John’s site to see others.

I invite the FR Blog Team, as time permits, to make some predictions for 2006 on this site!

FLASH’S 2006 PREDICTIONS 1) Major political donors, outraged by the amount of their money going into the pockets of consultants, will tie their donations to assurance that the money will go to voter contact, not to the vacation homes of well-connected insiders. 2) The California State Supreme Court will throw out Proposition 22, making gay-marriage a huge issue going into the November elections. 3) Proposals for massive… Read More

While I am off on vacation, I am still trying to find fun things to post to the blog — and I couldn’t resist this article by Sarah Kershaw in today’s New York Times.. Not only because it cites the FlashReport in the opening paragraphs, but because it highlights the fact that there is still a lot of unrest and unhappiness with Gray Davis’ former Deputy Chief of Staff, Susan Kennedy, (she is also a former Executive Director of the State Democrat Party) becoming Republican Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s Chief of Staff. The Governor has stated repeatedly (and told me directly) that Kennedy has been hired to implement his vision, not the other way around. But as conservative guru Morton Blackwell says, personnel IS policy. Well, I have spoken plenty about my unhappiness and discomfort with the Kennedy hire, but check out this article. You can read the post cited in the first paragraph here.

I was having this very debate with a couple reporters at a Christmas party the other day. Who produces better journalism?: A reporter that is close to the people she covers–has relationships and knows the landscape and has institutional knowledge OR a reporter that is green, has no ties to the community and just purely reports the news?

As someone who values relationships, not because it allows manipulation (after all the green reporter is just as likely to get played) but because it breeds civility and more importantly accuracy I prefer the former.

Jean Pasco of the LA Times is one of the old school reporters who has been around since I got involved more than a dozen years ago. And she knows everyone and remembers everything. There are disadvantages to this but I still would prefer Jean cover a story that involved me or a friend rather than some easy to manipulate but ignorant runt of a reporter.

In true Probolsky style Pasco gives a cool run down of Orange County races in 06 in today’s LA Times. Only a… Read More

In October, I was stunned to announce that out of five judicial appointments to the Los Angeles County bench, four were Republicans. See it here. There were no appointments in November. In December The Governor made four appointments, three of the Democrats. My unofficial tallier has the numbers at 17 Democrats, 8 Republicans and one decline to state.

One of the reasons the Governor’s campaign will give to conservatives to support him will be the kinds of judges he will appoint. In Los Angeles County Democrats are twice as likely to be appointed than Republicans.

This month, the Gov. made appointments to the State Law Revision Commission. All Gray Davis appointees. Including LA County Dem William Weinberger. another Dem and one decline to state.… Read More

Effective January 1, 2006, a new state law will require members of local agency legislative bodies who receive any type of compensation, salary, stipend or reimbursement for actual and necessary expenses incurred in the performance of official duties to attend ethics training. The new law is codified at Government Code section 53254 and defines “local agency legislative bodies” to include the governing body of the agency (i.e., the city council, board of supervisors or board of trustees) as well as all committees, commissions, or other boards of a local agency, whether permanent or temporary and whether advisory or decision-making. Members of such bodies will be required to attend 2 hours of training every two years.

This new law may lead to some confusion because while it requires members of advisory and temporary local agency commissions to attend ethics training, state ethics laws draw distinctions between permanent decision making bodies (like city councils and planning commissions) and temporary advisory bodies (like ad hoc committees). For instance, unless a local jurisdiction’s code requires otherwise, members of purely… Read More