As a follow up to my Sunday San Diego post on the race, here’s a KGTV Channel 10/Survey USA poll, from the news website….
Goldsmith Possibly Positioned to Topple Incumbent Aguirre in San Diego City Attorney Race: In an election for San Diego City Attorney held today, 10/24/08, eleven days until votes are counted, challenger Jan Goldsmith may have the strength to unseat incumbent Michael Aguirre, according to this latest exclusive KGTV-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. At this hour, it’s Goldsmith 50%, Aguirre 38%, Undecided 12%.
Whites and Hispanics vote differently. Whites back the challenger. Hispanics back the incumbent. In this survey, Hispanics are 15% of likely voters. If Hispanics vote in larger numbers, Aguirre’s support is understated here, and the outcome will be closer. Among the 28% of voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted, Goldsmith leads by 12 points. Among those who have not yet voted, but whom SurveyUSA determines will cast a ballot on or before election day, Goldsmith leads by 11.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 adults from the city of San Diego 10/23/08. Of the adults, 717 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 614 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
Click here for the site.