Noting our publisher’s self-congratulations on predicting Tuesday morning the essentials of the Norby win in the 72nd AD special election that same day, I’ll do the same here, because my own poll, first published here a month ago, showed the victory in the making weeks before Jon’s prediction. My poll, taken Oct, 22-25, showed Norby’s positives at about 38% and Linda Ackerman’s as 19%. Though limited to Republicans, these figures are startlingly close to the actual vote results in the race. In addition, while my poll showed overall Republican voter support as 27% for Norby and 17% for Ackerman (underpredicting Norby’s election day strength a little but pretty much nailing Ackerman’s vote) the cross-tabs for the absentee vote almost exactly mirror the actual result of the election on November 17. Adam Probolsky attempted to sully my poll in this publication by calling the survey “funny numbers” in a post. He was wrong. The actual results strongly support the credibility of my poll results and I certainly don’t mind pointing that out to FR readers.
November 21st, 2009 at 12:00 am
In his October 26th post here, Mr. Probolsky wrote of the Lacy Poll:
“Lacy is a direct mail guy who contracted with a call center in Utah to produce
a report for him. I don’t question that the calls were made, just that the meth-
odology is fatally flawed.”
* Take a bow, Mr. Direct Mail Guy! Your fatally flawed methodology hit the
bullseye!