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Ray Haynes

The Disappointment of the Recall

In February 2003, I was approached by at least one group that was promoting the recall and asked to run for Governor should the recall get on the ballot.  I said no, I wasn’t ready for Governor, but I would do everything in my power to make sure the recall succeeded.

About three days later, I was one of two elected officials to speak at the first recall rally (Tom McClintock was the other), and spoke of the disaster that was created by Gray Davis in our state government.  As soon as I was done speaking, I went to an appointment I had with Darrell Issa, who was, I thought, thinking about running for U.S. Senate against Barbara Boxer in 2004.  Since I wanted to go to Congress at that time, and Congressman Issa’s seat covered my district, I thought it important to talk to him about his future plans.  We spoke, and he asked me what I thought about the recall.  I told him I thought it a good idea, but it would never qualify for the ballot.  We had strong grass roots support, but no money, and nothing like this would succeed without money.

He asked me if I thought that people would support him if he financed the recall.  I told him I believed McClintock would never back out, since Tom was now in with both feet in a run for Governor, but I told Congressman Issa most people would support Issa for Governor, if he paid for qualifying the recall.  I said I would definitely support him, and try to persuade others to do the same.  When I left, Issa was interested, but noncommittal.

Issa soon decided he would go for it, and put up the money, and what happened next was pure music.  Everything worked just like it should, and the recall qualified.  Issa was the key factor in making it happened, but the grass roots activists fell in behind, and everything worked like clockwork.

On several occasions during the qualification process, I spoke with Issa’s operatives to see if anyone knew what was happening with Arnold Schwarzenegger.  I had heard he was interested but I was assured he was not going to run,  Terminator 3 was coming out, and he was contractually bound to promote the movie.  Schwarzenegger definitely wasn’t running.  When Schwarzenegger joined the race, and Issa dropped out, I have to admit, I was very disappointed.  I still think Congressman Issa would have made a great governor.  It was not to be, however.

Issa was out, and Schwarzenegger and McClintock were in.  Bustamante joined in, and as an early supporter of the recall, I faced a dilemma.  I was closer to McClintock in philosophy, but believed he could not win, and thought he would pull just enough votes out of Schwarzenegger for a Bustamante win.  I believed that would destroy conservatism in California.  We would have won the recall, but guaranteed another eight years of a Democrat governor.  Moderates in the Republican party would use that fact to attempt to destroy conservatives in the party.  Since McClintock was pulling out, and seemed unconcerned about the potential harm to the movement a Bustamante governorship might have, I felt I had little choice.  Supporting Schwarzenegger would (and did) hurt me politically, but it would preserve the conservative movement.

I met with Schwarzenegger to talk about what he would do as Governor, especially on the issues of guns, babies and taxes.  He told me he was pro-choice, but that most of the issues on life were issues decided by the courts.  He said "I would like the judges he appointed" implying these judges would be strict constructionist type judges.  On guns, he said he was a gunowner, so he understood their issues, and he would not sign any more laws banning any more guns.  On taxes, he said he would control spending, and he "would never raise taxes."  Based on those promises, I supported him.

I was wrong.

Schwarzenegger started out great.  In his first year in office, he was doing great.  He submitted the best budget of any governor I had seen since my time in the legislature.  It was the smallest increase in spending in four decades, and promised a secure future.

Then it all started going downhill.  The first thing he did, at the end of his first year in office, was sign a bill that banned 50 caliber guns.  It was a direct breach of his promise to me.  He then came back with his initiative proposals.  While the idea of governing by initiatives was not a bad one, his consultants came up with four mediocre proposals, and one good one.  The mediocre proposals inspired no voters to support them, and the one good one generated millions in opposition.  The result?  Schwarzenegger’s consultants made lots of money, but he lost at the ballot box.  That was the end of the good times with Arnold Schwarzenegger.

Soon after that campaign, Schwarzenegger hired Susan Kennedy to be his chief of staff.  Kennedy, a key Gray Davis staffer, was hired because Schwarzenegger said "she could make the trains run on time."  (That, of course, was the same thing they said about the fascist Mussolini when he ran Italy.  In politics, it is not always good to have the trains run on time, if they are going to the wrong station, which is where Kennedy was sure to take them).  I told Schwarzenegger hiring Kennedy was a huge mistake (thereby assuring that I would never get an appointment from the Governor, despite my early support of him), and that all he was doing was making sure he would be the second and third term of the Davis administration.  I told him I was sorry I supported the recall because of that.  The Governor defended his choice.

It turned out I was right.  From the time he hired Kennedy to the day he left office, his time as Governor became a disaster.  No one could distinguish him from Gray Davis.  He increased spending, increased regulation, increased taxes, and ultimately left unpopular and ineffective.  He specifically chose to ignore the advice of many of us who were his supporters in the recall, thinking he knew more about government than we did.  I was never a part of his inner circle, but tried to tell his people he was going down the wrong road.  His advisers were increasingly more liberal, and more big government, and ultimately he left the state in worse shape than when he arrived.  He broke all of his promises to me, but more important, he broke faith with the voters who supported him in the recall.  He did not clean up Sacramento as he had promised.  He just became a buff Gray Davis.

Worse than all of that, however, is that Republicans got the blame for his breach of faith.  He was, after all, one of us, or so the voters thought.  Republicans had gotten what they wanted, they asked voters to get rid of Gray Davis, and the voters trusted them, and trusted the choice Republicans had promoted as the replacement for Davis.  That replacement turned out to be a warmed over Gray Davis political clone.  When Jerry Brown attacked Meg Whitman for being a Schwarzenegger clone, it was the ultimate insult to the recall, and the principles the recall sought to promote.  Schwarzenegger had forgotten why he was elected, and, in the end, Republicans got the blame for it.

That is the disappointment of the recall.  In retrospect, it would have been better if we had left Gray Davis in place.  Davis would have destroyed the state, and Democrats would have gotten the blame, and then, maybe, a decent Republican could have replaced him, and tried to fix it.  Instead, Republicans, quite properly, got the blame for the current mess, because we promoted Schwarzenegger, and he turned out to be faithless.

The only good news is that the Democrats got what they wanted.  Most of the problems in this state were created by Jerry Brown when he was Governor, now he has to clean them up.  He won’t be able to, because his Democrat colleagues in the Legislature won’t let him.  By the time they are done, the Democrats in Sacramento will single handedly revive the California Republican Party.  The only question will be whether Republicans will have learned the lesson of the recall, and when they have the chance, whether they will allow a candidate who can really change Sacramento to become the party nominee.  Schwarzenegger taught us a difficult lesson.  The only question that remains is if we will learn anything from it. 

8 Responses to “The Disappointment of the Recall”

  1. dstout4@hotmail.com Says:

    The other question is whether there will be any jobs left in California by the time the California Republican party is revived.

  2. Tony95683@netzero.net Says:

    As the Petition Manager for the Grey Davis Recall effort our team focused only on gathering two million signatures to place the recall petition on the ballot.
    We at the People’s Advocate refused to endorse any candidate to replace Gray Davis.
    There was no connection or involvement in any candidate although we all had great regard for Senator Tom McClintock.
    Ditto on Senator Haynes report on the Arnold disaster.

  3. sprintcar166@gmail.com Says:

    Ray

    It takes guts to admit you where wrong , I give you applause for that

    I think your post backs up what I said to the Republican Hierarchy , if you back Arnold Kennedy … you will guarantee a defacto third term of Gray Davis … I think your post & history backs up what I said in 03 & why I voted against the recall in 03 after initially supporting it, but still voted for McClintock for Gov.

    Gray was termed out in 06 & Arnie would have had long odds to get the Rep nomination in 06

    & the Dems would have owned the Government for 8 years

    Would have made for a great contrast of philosophies in the 06 election don’t you think ?

    You ask will we learn from it

    Only if a majority of Ca citizens get there heads screwed on straight & see things for what they really are instead of living in fantasy land

    One way to do this is if You & The Grand Poobahs of the Republican party back peeps like McClintock , candidates with integrity & character …. & reject candidates who think it’s their turn or politically connected

  4. Daniel@Rego.com Says:

    Never EVER support squishes. While at least you recognize your mistakes now, you WERE warned that Arnold would squish-out.

    Schartzenegger’s election was the point of no return for California (R.I.P.)

  5. hoover@cts.com Says:

    For the Record, the Heavy Lifting to put the 2003 recall on the ballot was done
    by Rep. Darrell Issa’s “Rescue California” committee, directed by Scott Taylor.
    80% of the sigatures were collected by Rescua California.

    The LA Times of July 8, 2003 wrote, “Rescue California officials said they have
    1.2 million signatures, and two other anti-Davis groups claim to have another
    200,000 between them. Election experts say the 1.2-million mark is usually
    necessary to ensure that at least 897,158 signatures would be proved valid.”
    (LA Times, Juky 8, 2003).

    Eight years later, and there are STILL some other people trying to claim the
    credit for making the thing work. No surprise there ! But it was really Darrell
    Issa. If GOP and conservative activists had rallied behind Issa in the Fall
    campaign, we would’ve had a very different Governor in December of 2003.

    I worked in that Rescue California campaign, and remember these details
    very well.

  6. hoover@cts.com Says:

    Dave Gilliard and Tom Bader also had starring roles in the Rescue California campaign.

  7. juanitocabrone@gmail.com Says:

    I suspect that this is the exact same sentiment of most Republicans in California. I know that it is mine. I supported Tom McClintock in the recall election, and though he didn’t win, I was fortunate enough that he later became my US Representative in Congress.

    My major concern is twofold:

    1 Messaging: What is the the message of Republicans in California? Certainly one of fiscal restraint, lower taxes, smaller government, business promotion and liberty – but what specific things are we saying we’re going to do, and what are the steps that will be taken to accomplish them? People want something to support – something that Meg Whitman failed to provide.

    2 Candidates:
    Who are they? Where are they? We have no bench, no farm system and certainly no big leaguers at this point. There are no Republican constitutional officers elected currently, so we have no standard bearer. We need a figurehead, or at least a group espousing a consistent message. Hoping that Governor Brown and the Legislature fail enough to drive voters back to Republican candidates and issues is not doing any real proactive work to win any elections, it’s just hoping that the other side blows it. Not really a very effective game plan.

  8. kenc@psyber.com Says:

    Ray,
    I have to hand it to you for writing this. You told a number of us during the Recall that if you were wrong in endorsing Arnold, you would admit it. Well I admire you for writing this.

    During the Recall I will never forget the work of Ron Nehring. Ron was county chairman of San Diego and chairman of the county chairman association. I was chairman of Placer County and Ron did everything he could to get the county chairman association to endorse Arnold.

    Ron called an alleged closed meeting with the chairman and Arnold at a Republican convention. There was a show of hands concerning the number of chairmen that supported Arnold. Amazingly enough this got leaked out to the press and I remember arguing with Daniel Weintraub about what happened at the meeting. Weintraub seemed to know everything that happened in that private meeting… and it all seemed to favor Arnold.

    Well that meeting and it being leaked to the press did not have the desired effect so Ron Nehring called all the CA county chairman to Sacramento for yet another private meeting to discuss a county chairman association endorsement (think Arnold).

    Ron Nehring got what he wanted, even though a handful of us stood firm with Tom McClintock, and the county chairman association endorsed Arnold. Ron took that to the CRP board, and they then endorsed Arnold.

    I still fondly remember trying everything possible to stop Ron Nehring from pushing an Arnold endorsement through the county chairmans association. I do not regret voting for Tom McClintock at every opportunity that has presented.