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FlashReport Weblog on California Politics

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Tab Berg

Calling all lawyers!

While it’s clear McCain has won California – and surged to a fairly commanding lead in the delegate count nationally, several California Congressional District Presidential Delegations are still up in the air. And with delegates at stake, I wouldn’t be surprised if election lawyers start descending on our ROV’s across the state to monitor final counts.

Having lived through many close elections (I have a t-shirt that reads “6 F-ing votes!” to commemorate one memorable win), I think its safe to advise Presidential Delegates in a number of districts not to pack their bags or cancel their flights just yet.

With Debbie “let them use paper” Bowen’s push back to paper ballots, the large turnout, and the early primary, there are still many votes left to be counted.

Here are just a few samples where it’s probably just too close to call:

CA-03 (Sacramento County) *John McCain 22,028 39.06 Mitt Romney 22,001 39.01 -26 vote difference with hundred’s of late AB and provisional ballots left to count (including my wife’s!)

There are a number of others that… Read More

Brandon Powers

Romney Wins in CD42

Granted, I’m well aware that 100% doesn’t necessarily mean 100% when it comes to precincts reporting, but as of this moment, with 100% reporting Romney has picked up the 42nd Congressional District by a whopping 73 votes.

Romney – 29,589 — 38.3% McCain – 29,516 — 38.3%

This one in particular matters to me, as if this holds, the three delegates Romney would have picked up are:

– Steve Baric – Ed Tolman – Yours Truly… Read More

Barry Jantz

And, what of Giuliani?

Today’s SDUT has a list of Super Tuesday Winners and Losers,which includes the following…

WINNER – Mike Huckabee: From a nobody to household name in two months. Rudy Giuliani didn’t make the list of losers, but of course he was no longer in play yesterday, so likely not deemed eligible. Yet, considering that Rudy for several months had placed every one of his eggs in the Big Tuesday basket, aside from one large Grade AAA for Florida, he might have still been considered.

Following the pattern used in the UT’s Huckabee wording noted above, allow me to submit this…

LOSER – Rudy Giuliani: From a household name to nobody in two months.

Seriously, though, will any candidate ever again take the strategic risk of ignoring the early caucuses and primaries in the delegate weak states, while focusing solely on the big prizes, only to be left out of the headlines for weeks on end in a crucial period?

Maybe not. Yet,Read More

Barry Jantz

McCain in CA

Fox and CNN call CA for McCain some time ago. But, it’s the apportioned delegate count we’re all interested in…

McCain looks to be carrying every district in the state in the 40-50% range against Romney’s 20-30% range.

CNN election tracker at present has it McCain, 475 delegates, to Romney’s 151. But, that’s with only 11 CA delegates included for McCain. Add to that another 160+ from CA alone, and McCain is nearing the threshold numbers John Lewis indicated this morning (see post) to make this thing virtually inevitable.

Some would say it’s still early. Put a fork in it.… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Today’s Commentary: Prospective GOP Delegates May Not Know Their Fate Until Tomorrow

If your name has been submitted by the Romney for President Campaign or the McCain for President Campaign as a prospective delegate for this summer’s Republican National Convention in Minneapolis/St. Paul, you may have a long night and early morning ahead. Over the past few days, we have seen several public opinion polls attempting to gauge who will win the GOP primary here in the Golden State. Some of these surveys show Senator Mccain ahead, others show Governor Romney ahead. Others show that it is neck and neck. The reality is probably somewhere in this range – it will be a tight race. For those who are frustrated about the disparagy of some of the polling results, I would take heed in something my friend and fellow blogger Adam Probolsky (a public opinion pollster by profession) likes to say, "The results of a survey of voters is only as accurate as your ability to try and predict who is likely to actually vote." There are predictions for a record turn out by California voters today. This isn’t surprising since on both sides of the political spectrum, Golden State voters will be actually making a… Read More

Jon Fleischman

VIDEO: Romney Rally In Long Beach

Last night GOP Presidential contender Mitt Romney held a rally in Long Beach. Jonathan with Red County was there — here is some great video footage… … Read More

Mike Spence

John And Ken Go With Romney

Top rated LA Talk Show hosts John and Ken are endorsing Mitt Romney for President.Read More

Jon Fleischman

WSJ’s Fund: A Long Wait for Absentee California

From today’s Wall Street Journal Political Diary E-mail:

A Long Wait for Absentee California

Don’t expect to get results from California’s crucial primary anytime tonight. In fact, if the GOP or Democratic race is close, it may be well into tomorrow before results are known and shape conventional wisdom about who "won" Super Tuesday.

The reason for the delay is twofold: absentee voting and paper ballots. Something like 45% of Californians now vote absentee and many will wait to drop off their mail-in ballots at their polling places today. Each mail-in ballot must be opened by hand, the signature compared with the signature on file, and then tabulated manually. That takes time.… Read More