I’m not one to fall in love with poll numbers, but here are some survey results that are worth a notice. They come from Stanford University-Hoover Institution-Knowledge Networks.
Two things worth noting: this is online sampling, with the wording from the actual ballot presented to respondents. These folks were closest to recall’s final results back in 2003, which might say something about Field and the LA Times revisiting their survey methods.
First, the Arnold slate:
Prop 74 trails, 49% to 51% Prop 75 leads, 70% to 30% Prop 76 trails, 30% to 70% Prop 77 splits, 50% to 50%
As for the other initiatives:
Prop 73 leads, 54% to 46% Prop 78 leads, 59% to 41% Prop 79 leads, 58% to 42% Prop 80 trails, 37% to 63%
If the Prop 75 and 79 numbers are true, what does that say about the power of negative advertising?