Posted by Jon Fleischman at 12:00 am on Jan 15, 2010 Comments Off on Campbell’s Departure Advantages Poizner
The departure of former Congressman Tom Campbell from the
Republican primary for Governor benefits the candidacy of Insurance
Commissioner Steve Poizner at the expense of former eBay CEO Meg
Whitman. Exactly to what degree we will have to see.
First and foremost, I think that Whitman was advantaged in a
field where she could run as the only candidate coming straight out
of the private sector, challenging two opponents both of whom hold
public office. Now, of course, this advantage is
gone.
I also believe that Whitman benefited by Campbell’s presence in
the race from a gender-perspective, the one woman running against
two men.
Finally, I think that with Campbell out of the primary, now
means that the ultimate GOP nominee will have to get the voters of
over 50% of voters in a closed Republican primary (yes, DTS voters
can participate but historically those numbers have been very
small). While neither Whitman nor Poizner is a rock-ribbed
right winger, clearly Poizner has been posturing his candidacy well
to the right of Whitman, whose strong… Read More