
Congressional reapportionment should be good for CA GOP, right?
Just looking at some recently published statistics worked up by the Sacramento Bee on California Congressional Districts, it seems pretty obvious to me that Republicans should end up with several more competitive seats than the Democrats will have, when the Redistricting Commission finishes its work. This is because it appears that, of California’s 53 Congressional districts, Democrats are "over-representing" (elected to districts that are populated by less people than there should be) by 5% or more in 22 seats statewide, of the "ideal" population of 702,905 in each district, while Republicans are "over-representing" by at least 5% in just 3 seats. All this over-representing has to be shaken out so that these seats get more voters, meaning in clusters there will be fewer districts. Some of the Democrat "over-representation" is in double-digits, as high as 13% for Democrat Xavier Becerra and 10.2% for Democrat Loretta Sanchez. (This is somewhat akin to being a U.S. Senator from Rhode Island!) It reflects… Read More