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FlashReport Weblog on California Politics

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Supervisor Brad Mitzelfelt

Everybody Wants Some

I just left the Ben & Jerry’s factory in Waterbury, VT, so please understand if I seem a little annoyed… "Ben & Jerry’s is committed to working in support of social justice and equality, eliminating our negative impact on the environment…" … and contributing to the epidemics of obesity and diabetes through the manufacture and sale of frozen bovine mammary secretions… (I made up that last part). Guess who’s not in charge of this part of the vacation.

I started this entry this morning near Lebanon, N.H., heading west on Highway 4. Since Mr. Fleischman advised me to post shorter, more frequent blog entries whenever and wherever things occur to me, I’m taking his advice to the extreme by posting this from my BlackBerry while in a moving vehicle. Don’t worry, I’m not driving this time. Before I almost submitted to Ben & Jerry’s corporate/Marxist re-education (I wouldn’t give them three bucks for theirice cream, which I hear is good, much less a tour) — I felt… Read More

Bouncing Rubble?

I spent the weekend in Los Angeles. One of the most notable differences: the presence of Schwarzenegger ads on local television.

Here in the Bay Area, local Republicans complain about the barrage of anti-Arnold ads, and very little in the way of response. But here’s the reality of the special election:

1) Schwarzenegger’s side is playing with less money; they can’t spend willy-nilly in the Bay Area as Team Arnold did during recall, when he had a considerably larger bankroll and could afford to blanket the state;

2) Arnold has been active in the Bay Area — only, it’s “earned” media (speeches and campaign appearances that covered by the local media) vs. paid media. He’s not ducking the region, just better marshalling his resources;

3) The unions’ round-the-clock spending in the Bay Area could backfire. Let’s assume that the purpose of the blitz is to increase turnout for next month. Maybe that works. But too many negative ads run the risk of crossing the line from inflicting damage to bouncing rubble — i.e., overkill. And there’s the collateral damage of… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Has Duncan Hunter gone ‘native’?

On the FR weblog today, Jason Roe, our Beltway correspondent, laments that the Prop. 77 strategy in California may backfire and, due to a ripple-effect of other redistricting measures that may pass in a number of other states where the GOP has the favorable lines, we may lose the GOP majority in the house. Jason and I disagree on Prop. 77, but that’s okay. I’m right and he’s wrong! ;) THE BIGGEST DANGER TO A GOP LOSS IN THE HOUSE If we want to look to why Republicans might lose their majority in the House, one need look no further than an article from The Hill today, and look to California’s own Duncan Hunter. Hunter is Chairman of the esteemed House Armed Services Committee, and a very senior player in the… Read More

Mike Spence

Keith Richman’s Prop. 73 Strategy

Keith Richman is a RepublicanAssemblyman from the San Fernando Valley that wants to be the GOP nominee for State Treasurer. Prop. 73 is a measure that requires parental notification before an unemancipated minor can get an abortion.

When Assemblywomen Mimi Walters and Sen. Dennis Hollingsworth circulated letters in the GOP caucus asking legislators to support Prop. 73. Only Keith Richman refused to sign. Other self identified "pro-choice" Republicans signed the letter, viewing this measure correctly as a parental rights issue.

The state party endorsed it. Even the liberal California Congress of Republicans endorses the measure.

Why would Richman join Barbara Boxer in opposing this measure? Polls show over 80% of Republican support this issue. How does it help Richman in a closed Republican primary to be so adamant in his opposition to… Read More

Jason Cabel Roe

Arnold Could Cost Us the Majority

Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s decision to wrest control of redistricting from the elected representatives of the legislature probably seemed like a good idea by many California Republicans frustrated by the political wilderness they’ve been trapped in for so many years. In fact, it might be just what is needed to be relevant in Sacramento – but the national implications are not helpful.

Proposition 77, which seems unlikely to pass in the Golden State – thus giving Congressional Republicans a gain of exactly zero seats, has at least inspired Democrats. Democrats in Florida, Michigan, and Ohio.

Common Cause, a… Read More

It’s A Long Way To The Top

Especially if you’re Tom Berryhill

AC/DC, the band who dared to use bag pipes in their anthem describing the long journey to the top of the music biz , is one of those rare musical bands that continue to produce the same, straight ahead, 4/4 blues-based rock and roll, record after record (oops…I share Schnur’s old age excuse)…cd after cd. In fact, rather than lose their audience, AC/DC’s musical consistency has made them one of the most successful bands in history and endeared them to Angus wannabees like me everywhere. Come on….who among you haven’t done the Angus behind closed doors at one point in your life.

That very type of consistency, all too rare among today’s —next office seeking – politicians is exactly why Tom Berryhill will most certainly win the Republican nomination for the seat being vacated by Dave… Read More

Dan Schnur

Prop 75 and record clubs

When I was a teenager, I joined one of the record clubs that advertised in the Sunday newspaper. You may remember the pitch: pay one penny for a dozen records or cassette tapes (yes, it was that long ago…) But once you signed up you had to buy a dozen more records at regular prices. Still not that bad a deal, with one catch.

You may remember the catch as well. They sent you a card every month with a promotion for a newly released record. Unless you sent back the card within a couple of weeks, they automatically sent you the music, along with a bill for it. Well-organized, efficient people sent back the card most months, and instead picked out the music that they wanted for the next three years. Me, I ended up with a lot of music I never wanted, which is just what the record companies were counting on. So that’s why I’ve still got all those Manilow and Carpenters cassettes in the back of my closet.

Fast forward a couple of decades to the fight over Proposition 75. And the same dynamic is at play: a large organization counting on the passivity of its… Read More

Jon Fleischman

On The Stump – Prop. 76

IRVINE PTA FORUM I received a telephone call from one of my local school board members, Carolyn McInerney (a Republican), late last week. She told me that she was having trouble finding someone to come and represent the YES on 76 cause at a forum being sponsored by the Irvine PTA and supported by the school district. It’s no wonder they were having trouble filling the spot. Carolyn, herself an opponent of the measure, disclosed to me that the State PTA had gone on record opposing it, that the district Superintendent would be on the program, opposing the measure, and that, by and large, the crowd there were ‘education folks’ who were opposed. Flying down to give the "No on 76" talk was the Deputy Executive Director of the California School Boards Assocation.

Well, clearly Carolyn knows me too well. The taller the odds, the bigger the challenge – like a moth to the flame, Jon can’t resist. So I agreed to come down and speak. After spending some time preparing (Prop. 76 used to be a very intimidating measure, now I really… Read More

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